Global Surface Warming: Worst-Case Projections (NASA)
WorldPhysical EnvironmentA representation of the annual mean surface temperature, given a worst-case projection based on projected or predicted models of comparatively high greenhouse-gas emissions for surface temperature changes relative to the average temperatures during the late 20th century (2081–2100), using assumptions commonly referred to RCP 8.5 in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) abstracts.
NASAA map shows global surface warming worst-case projections in degrees Celsius. Extensive warming is depicted in the Arctic and northern hemisphere regions. Moderate warming covers the equatorial and southern regions.
2 to 2.5 | 2.5 to 3 | 3 to 3.5 | 3.5 to 4 | 4 to 4.5 | 4.5 to 5 | 5 to 5.5 | 5.5 to 6 | 6 to 6.5 | 6.5 to 7 | 7 to 7.5 | Evergreen forest | Deciduous forest | Water | Mixed forest | Shrublands | Savannas | Grasslands | Permanent wetlands | Urban and built-up | Cropland and natural vegetation | Snow and ice | Barren or sparsely vegetated | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska | 0.364% | 0.102% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 6.85% | 0.304% | 0.877% | 0.260% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 3.90% | 0.194% | ||||||||
Arizona | 3.51% | 69.2% | 27.3% | 1.24% | 82.2% | 0.905% | 12.8% | 2.58% | |||||||||||||||
Utah | 100% | 1.37% | 71.1% | 6.04% | |||||||||||||||||||
Yukon | 36.2% | 38.5% | 16.4% | 5.02% | 3.91% | 11.0% | 34.4% | 44.3% | 0.183% | 4.06% | |||||||||||||
Northwest Territories | 9.87% | 22.1% | 27.7% | 18.5% | 4.31% | 15.6% | 1.77% | 8.23% | 2.25% | 0.109% | 50.3% | 0.342% | 0.521% | 0.256% | |||||||||
District of Columbia | 100% | 90.9% | 9.14% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Florida | 15.0% | 82.2% | 2.85% | 0.732% | 69.7% | 6.73% | 2.76% | 0.989% | |||||||||||||||
Idaho | 48.1% | 51.9% | 34.0% | 57.6% | 2.52% | ||||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire | 23.7% | 76.3% | 100% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Rhode Island | 100% | 42.8% | 46.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Vermont | 95.9% | 4.15% | 52.7% | 32.3% | 14.6% | ||||||||||||||||||
Washington | 6.09% | 55.9% | 38.0% | 38.7% | 30.4% | 2.11% | |||||||||||||||||
Wyoming | 3.26% | 96.7% | 5.80% | 92.0% | |||||||||||||||||||
Nunavut | 1.46% | 4.55% | 27.5% | 0.150% | 19.2% | 5.07% | 17.6% | 0.661% | 14.7% | ||||||||||||||
Montana | 89.8% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 76.4% | 1.52% | ||||||||||||||||||
Maine | 16.2% | 71.2% | 12.7% | 98.8% | |||||||||||||||||||
North Dakota | 100% | 23.6% | 1.29% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Kentucky | 100% | 34.2% | 65.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Nova Scotia | 0.194% | 99.8% | 77.1% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Virginia | 63.0% | 37.0% | 37.9% | 29.7% | 1.92% | 8.03% | |||||||||||||||||
Delaware | 100% | 3.32% | 94.5% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Prince Edward Island | 85.1% | 14.9% | 54.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saskatchewan | 31.5% | 61.8% | 6.66% | 40.6% | 5.40% | 2.31% | 7.63% | 4.39% | 36.0% | ||||||||||||||
Mississippi | 1.91% | 52.1% | 46.0% | 29.5% | 9.44% | 22.9% | |||||||||||||||||
West Virginia | 100% | 96.2% | 1.85% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Nebraska | 100% | 60.9% | 39.1% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Texas | 1.45% | 25.6% | 56.1% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 63.9% | 0.593% | 0.322% | ||||||||||||||
Missouri | 20.7% | 79.3% | 13.6% | 1.69% | 84.7% | ||||||||||||||||||
Louisiana | 21.5% | 63.6% | 14.9% | 3.55% | 21.5% | 12.9% | 26.3% | ||||||||||||||||
Hawaii | 4.46% | 95.5% | 57.1% | ||||||||||||||||||||
North Carolina | 3.74% | 93.9% | 2.93% | 0.571% | 11.8% | 22.1% | |||||||||||||||||
Oregon | 19.6% | 27.0% | 52.7% | 0.664% | 39.9% | 46.3% | 1.78% | ||||||||||||||||
New Brunswick | 20.6% | 69.3% | 10.1% | 98.0% | |||||||||||||||||||
Alabama | 2.92% | 87.2% | 9.85% | 1.53% | 41.9% | 10.2% | 1.99% | ||||||||||||||||
New Mexico | 21.3% | 78.7% | 2.71% | 48.6% | 33.8% | 0.141% | |||||||||||||||||
Kansas | 100% | 76.0% | 8.38% | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wisconsin | 100% | 5.34% | 0.733% | 24.3% | 69.7% | ||||||||||||||||||
British Columbia | 1.18% | 10.9% | 80.5% | 7.40% | 10.9% | 4.59% | 0.944% | 0.141% | 0.358% | 0.225% | 5.56% | ||||||||||||
Newfoundland and Labrador | 9.26% | 24.1% | 25.5% | 41.2% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 29.3% | 14.1% | 2.34% | ||||||||||||||
New Jersey | 99.9% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 35.6% | 7.11% | ||||||||||||||||||
South Carolina | 12.4% | 87.6% | 3.99% | 13.8% | 0.475% | 4.46% | |||||||||||||||||
Michigan | 100% | 1.66% | 3.94% | 16.6% | 1.80% | 48.8% | |||||||||||||||||
Alberta | 21.6% | 71.0% | 7.43% | 24.3% | 30.3% | 0.208% | 3.41% | 0.266% | |||||||||||||||
Connecticut | 100% | 98.8% | |||||||||||||||||||||
Pennsylvania | 10.3% | 76.9% | 12.8% | 54.7% | 1.93% | 18.7% | |||||||||||||||||
Colorado | 100% | 7.58% | 0.276% | 88.5% | |||||||||||||||||||
Nevada | 55.5% | 44.5% | 0.345% | 2.21% | 65.5% | 1.16% | |||||||||||||||||
Massachusetts | 0.220% | 0.204% | 88.4% | 11.2% | 26.1% | 56.3% | 9.42% | ||||||||||||||||
Georgia | 17.7% | 82.3% | 2.03% | 1.36% | 6.94% | 16.9% | 1.91% | 2.16% | 0.313% | ||||||||||||||
New York | 8.25% | 44.4% | 47.4% | 27.2% | 0.385% | 15.0% | 0.153% | 0.584% | |||||||||||||||
Maryland | 77.2% | 22.8% | 11.5% | 2.19% | 81.3% | ||||||||||||||||||
Québec | 0.462% | 6.48% | 44.1% | 28.1% | 20.7% | 0.145% | 5.39% | 3.99% | 38.7% | 9.24% | 4.66% | 1.11% | |||||||||||
Manitoba | 43.2% | 44.5% | 12.3% | 37.5% | 3.53% | 5.69% | 25.2% | 2.44% | 3.56% | 13.2% | |||||||||||||
Oklahoma | 28.9% | 71.1% | 2.23% | 13.4% | 81.7% | 2.65% | |||||||||||||||||
Tennessee | 26.0% | 74.0% | 23.2% | 3.17% | 14.9% | ||||||||||||||||||
Ontario | 48.4% | 40.0% | 11.6% | 32.1% | 0.585% | 0.132% | 3.80% | 0.824% | 18.9% | 0.176% | 6.74% | ||||||||||||
California | 0.147% | 33.8% | 21.5% | 35.5% | 25.6% | 27.5% | 1.33% | 8.18% | 1.87% | 10.1% | 0.505% | ||||||||||||
Arkansas | 98.0% | 2.00% | 10.7% | 33.2% | 2.79% | 0.791% | 52.5% | ||||||||||||||||
South Dakota | 100% | 1.78% | 57.1% | 41.1% | |||||||||||||||||||
Ohio | 67.4% | 32.6% | 15.3% | 0.254% | 84.5% | ||||||||||||||||||
Indiana | 53.3% | 46.7% | 3.37% | 0.562% | 96.1% | ||||||||||||||||||
Minnesota | 100% | 0.174% | 28.8% | 0.689% | 70.4% | ||||||||||||||||||
Iowa | 100% | 100% | |||||||||||||||||||||
Illinois | 18.1% | 81.9% | 4.06% | 95.9% | |||||||||||||||||||