Global Surface Warming: Worst-Case Projections (NASA)
WorldPhysical EnvironmentA representation of the annual mean surface temperature, given a worst-case projection based on projected or predicted models of comparatively high greenhouse-gas emissions for surface temperature changes relative to the average temperatures during the late 20th century (2081–2100), using assumptions commonly referred to RCP 8.5 in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) abstracts.
NASAA map shows global surface warming worst-case projections in degrees Celsius. Extensive warming is depicted in the Arctic and northern hemisphere regions. Moderate warming covers the equatorial and southern regions.
1.5 to 2 | 2 to 2.5 | 2.5 to 3 | 3 to 3.5 | 3.5 to 4 | 4 to 4.5 | 4.5 to 5 | 5 to 5.5 | 5.5 to 6 | 6 to 6.5 | 6.5 to 7 | 7 to 7.5 | 7.5 and above | Class | Rank | Value | Class | Rank | Billion kilowatt hours (kWh) | Class | Rank | Percent | Abyssinia | Afghanistan | Alaska Territory, United States | Albania | Algeria, France | Anglo-Egyptian Sudan, United Kingdom | Angola, Portugal | Antarctica | Arabia | Argentina | Austria-Hungary | Bahama Islands, United Kingdom | Basutoland, United Kingdom | Bechuanaland, United Kingdom | Belgian Congo, Belgium | Belgium | Bhutan | Bolivia | Brazil | British East Africa, United Kingdom | British Guiana, United Kingdom | British Honduras, United Kingdom | British North Borneo, United Kingdom | Canada | Ceylon, United Kingdom | Chile | China | Colombia | Costa Rica | Crete, Greece | Cuba | Denmark | Dominican Republic | Dutch East Indies, Netherlands | Ecuador | Egypt, United Kingdom | El Salvador | Eritrea, Portugal | Falkland Islands, United Kingdom | Federated Malay States, United Kingdom | Fernando Pó, Spain | Fiji, United Kingdom | Formosa, Japan | France | French Equatorial Africa, France | French Guiana, France | French Indochina, France | French Somaliland, France | French West Africa, France | Gambia, United Kingdom | German East Africa, Germany | German Empire, Germany | German New Guinea, Germany | German South-West Africa, Germany | Gold Coast, United Kingdom | Greece | Greenland, Denmark | Guatemala | Haiti | Honduras | Iceland, Denmark | India, United Kingdom | Ireland, United Kingdom | Italian Somaliland, Italy | Italy | Jamaica, United Kingdom | Japan | Kamerun, Germany | Kerguelen Islands, France | Korea, Japan | Liberia | Liechtenstein | Luxembourg | Macao, Portugal | Madagascar, France | Mauritius, United Kingdom | Mexico | Mongolia | Montenegro | Morocco, France | Nepal | Netherlands | New Caledonia, France | New Hebrides, Great Britain and France | New Zealand | Nicaragua | Nigeria, United Kingdom | Norway | Nyasaland, United Kingdom | Ottoman Empire | Panama | Paraguay | Persia | Peru | Philippine Islands, United States | Portugal | Portuguese East Africa, Portugal | Portuguese Guinea, Portugal | Portuguese Timor, Portugal | Puerto Rico, United States | Réunion, France | Rhodesia, United Kingdom | Río Muni, Spain | Romania | Russian Empire | Samoa, New Zealand | Serbia | Siam | Sierra Leone, United Kingdom | Solomon Islands, United Kingdom | South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands, United Kingdom | Spain | Spanish Morocco, Spain | Spanish Sahara, Spain | Spitzbergen, Norway | Sultanate of Muscat and Oman | Surinam (Dutch Guiana), Netherlands | Swaziland, United Kingdom | Sweden | Switzerland | Territory of Papua, United Kingdom | Togoland, Germany | Trinidad, United Kingdom | Tripoli, Italy | Tunisia, France | Uganda, United Kingdom | Union of South Africa, United Kingdom | United Kingdom | United States | Uruguay | Venezuela | |
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97.5% | 38.3% | 77.0% | 13.0% | 85.9% | 45.3% | 96.9% | 45.5% | 64.7% | 76.9% | 51.5% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
74.6% | 99.5% | 2.62% | 40.8% | 96.0% | 98.4% | 92.7% | 90.7% | 85.8% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6.73% | 32.2% | 58.2% | 18.2% | 99.4% | 99.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8.82% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 52.3% | 3.56% | 81.4% | 97.1% | 94.7% | 97.1% | 39.6% | 17.9% | 98.7% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
29.9% | 16.0% | 3.72% | 18.3% | 28.4% | 3.94% | 1.37% | 7.57% | 1.55% | 1.15% | 98.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6.70% | 50.6% | 13.0% | 22.5% | 40.1% | 39.7% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 5.49% | 7.51% | 6.84% | 5.96% | 8.15% | 66.0% | 33.4% | 45.1% | 5.45% | 80.5% | 77.4% | 9.36% | 35.3% | 81.2% | 97.3% | 25.6% | 81.1% | 82.9% | 85.3% | 88.0% | 92.7% | 66.3% | 95.0% | 53.9% | 86.0% | 70.3% | 83.9% | 27.0% | 98.6% | 94.6% | 88.8% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5.18% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 29.5% | 37.8% | 3.62% | 99.3% | 77.7% | 99.7% | 99.0% | 96.8% | 95.9% | 42.3% | 98.0% | 18.0% | 96.4% | 98.5% | 83.7% | 98.1% | 98.8% | 97.0% | 76.6% | 46.5% | 99.0% | 99.5% | 99.1% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
73.4% | 2.76% | 8.78% | 33.2% | 43.7% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 8.35% | 3.25% | 2.73% | 93.3% | 85.0% | 99.9% | 99.1% | 65.5% | 82.2% | 85.2% | 43.2% | 90.4% | 86.6% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2.71% | 1.76% | 7.47% | 19.6% | 28.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.87% | 8.41% | 1.84% | 24.5% | 98.6% | 99.4% | 74.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4.27% | 7.25% | 44.7% | 25.0% | 11.6% | 1.25% | 98.8% | 98.5% | 2.57% | 97.7% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
52.1% | 38.9% | 43.5% | 23.2% | 1.34% | 95.6% | 39.5% | 99.2% | 97.4% | 91.8% | 92.2% | 98.6% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.33% | 7.15% | 23.2% | 44.0% | 48.4% | 60.1% | 5.87% | 61.7% | 58.1% | 13.6% | 49.4% | 99.6% | 4.47% | 7.25% | 44.0% | 9.90% | 33.9% | 98.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6.04% | 34.1% | 49.1% | 46.0% | 29.1% | 97.9% | 59.8% | 99.8% | 98.5% | 99.7% | 99.8% | 58.9% | 1.77% | 98.0% | 5.97% | 83.3% | 96.7% | 73.6% | 95.2% | 99.5% | 99.3% | 69.5% | 80.3% | 18.3% | 98.8% | 99.5% | 66.8% | 98.2% | 87.0% | 95.4% | 99.6% | 91.2% | 97.7% | 96.1% | 30.1% | 31.2% | 96.0% |